Wednesday, June 17, 2009

Santana

I'd say it's better than even odds that Santana is hiding an injury. His per-game performance pre-May 11 and post-May 11 are remarkably bifurcated. There was no gradual drop in performance: he went from being consistently out-of-his-mind dominant to consistently about average.

Knowing that he pitched the final game on 3 days rest while injured last year tells me a lot about his mental drive. Incredibly his pitching ability while injured is still better than any of our other starters healthy. But I'd bet he's injured now; I'm not buying his "it's my mechanics" story. Hopefully it's nothing major, because this team with anything less than a dominant Johan is a non-starter to compete.

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