Tuesday, November 13, 2007

FA Market

So far Posada's been signed, Lowell was not, Glavine was not. Since the Mets apparently are no longer interested in Lo Duca, this means they must be banking on getting Torrealba. I understand that PLD is getting up there in years, but Torrealba's #s are underwhelming at best, and he's no better fielding or throwing runners out. So I'm not sure how this helps the team, unless there was some behind-the-scenes stuff where they don't think PLD is a good fit in the clubhouse.

I doubt we're bringing back Glavine. Braves want him, and that's where he'd rather be. It's where he's always wanted to be.

I think the Mets have zero chance of getting Santana, if the Yankees are serious about pursuing him. The Yankees have much better younger pitchers they can offer in return; last season had to reduce the trade value of Pelfrey and Humber. Apparently Milledge is still high on people's wish lists, and perhaps Gomez as well. But I just don't think we have the raw number of quality young players to get into a serious bidding war for Johan. I'm not sure where that leaves us, it means we have to go after Haren or Oswalt hard. As an alternative, maybe we could do a deal with the Sox. They desperately need a CF who can hit, perhaps they'd be interested in Milledge in exchange for some young pitching. On the other hand, Sox will probably just sign Torii as a free agent, costing them nothing in players.

I think there's a better than 50% chance that we don't make any major moves in this offseason. The only way we could land a blockbuster deal (i.e., Johan) is if we were willing to part with Jose-jose-jose, and that's not going to happen. I think Minaya is banking heavily on Pelf or Humber stepping up in a major way in '08. Rotation: Pedro - Duque - Maine - Perez - Pelf, with Humber waiting in the wings.

1 comment:

SheaHeyKid said...

And actually, if the sox have decided that ellsbury will be a starter next year, then they will not make any moves in outfield. They will keep manny, ellsbury, and nancy drew.