Sunday, September 18, 2011

Next up: the Big 3


Of course, there are still many big shoes left to drop, namely Pac12/SEC/Big 10 expansion.

PAC-12 is going to get first dibs, with the richest football contract from a TV revenue standpoint.  OK and OK St are going there, and we're going to get that news soon.  How do they get to 16?  That is the big question.   Texas would be the big win for the conference, and they were interested last go-around.  But now that they have their own TV network up and running (Longhorn Network), they're not willing to go equal splits, and I think that's a PAC-12 requirement.  Texas Tech, Kansas, K St., Mizzou, UNLV, Nevada, Boise St. would all be possibles.  

The SEC and Big 10 could look to feast on the carcass of the Big 12 (Kansas, Mizzou, K St., Iowa St., TTU, Baylor) after the PAC-12 has gotten its fill.  Or they could turn east.  If they turn east, the SEC will almost certainly be targeting ACC schools.  The SEC is clearly the major leagues of college football--will that tempt NC St., Virginia Tech or Maryland?  Possibly so.

And if the Big 10 looks East, with their money making TV network, they could probably throw some more dollars at schools like W Va, Maryland, Louisville, Cincinnati, or BC than they're getting now.

If the ACC were to lose 2-3 schools, they could quickly fill the void with schools like WVA, Temple, USF, which would maintain their regional integrity.

And as an aside, it's interesting that ND may finally not be able to stand pat as an independent.  If we're going to 4 conferences of 16 teams, and membership in a superconference is the only way to be included in the FBS playoff system, then ND may have to choose.  I'm sure Big 10 would be the most likely. 

1 comment:

Fredo said...

Today's scuttlebutt: Texas and OU to the PAC-12.

If this were to happen, the Big-12 is officially dead as a power conference.