Tuesday, December 28, 2010

Playoff scenarios

Jets are the 6 seed, with an outside shot at the 5. To get the five (and make Pittsburgh the 6), all of the following need to happen:

1) Jets beat Bills
2) Ravens beat Bengals (@ Baltimore)
3) Steelers lose to the Browns (@ Cleveland)

There is a big difference between 5 and 6 seed--especially if the Jets win the opening game of the playoffs, and the 6 seed beats the 3 (pretty possible if 6 is Pitt and 3 is KC).

In this case, in the 2nd round, Jets would go to Baltimore and Pitt would go to NE, instead of Jetties having to play NE in round 2.

Pretty unlikely though. More likely Jets path: through KC, through NE, and then through Pitt/Balt/Indy.

Win percentages (IMHO): Jets @ KC 40/60. Jets @ NE: 20/80. I'll stop there.

4 comments:

SheaHeyKid said...

What nauseates me is that the Pats are not as good as the rest of the NFL makes them look. They have a great QB and picked up two awesome tight ends. Other than that, the rest of the team is MEDIOCRE at best.

The O-line is old. The receivers are Branch, Tate, Welker and Woodhead. Seriously? Their secondary is young and whenever anyone realizes to throw deep on them, they get burned. Or when they face a tall receiver, they get burned. See first Jets-Pats game this year, when Braylon owned their corners.

Sure, they execute very well and rarely shoot themselves in the foot. But is no other team in the NFL capable of such discipline?

To me, the way you beat them is the way Rex has beaten them twice. Their whole game plan is quick passes to whichever of their small quick receivers is open. You need to rush 5 or 6, and have TIGHT man coverage on the small guys (Welker, Woodhead, etc.) Throw deep on them.

Fredo said...

But is no other team in the NFL capable of such discipline?

For the most part, no. The NFL is chock full of savage maniacs, and getting them to be disciplined takes coaching acumen of the highest order.

Fredo said...

Their whole game plan is quick passes to whichever of their small quick receivers doesn't make contact with another receiver's DB on an illegal pick.

FIFY.

SheaHeyKid said...

...whichever of their small quick receivers doesn't make contact with another receiver's DB on an illegal pick.

I didn't include that b/c it's understood. I've watched over 100 Pats games over the past 10 years, and I can say that they get away with more penalties than any other team I've watched. What's frustrating is that those penalties are precisely the ones they need to make their plays work. Specifically, the one Fredo noted, and the other major one they always got away with was offensive holding. In the earlier part of the decade commentators used to marvel at how long Brady had in the pocket to throw a pass. The sad truth is that it was all due to blatant O-line holding that never got called.

Not only do their WRs make illegal picks, they also blatantly hold.